INSA poll of 11 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%±0
- SPD15.5%+0.5
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Nov 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Nov 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.0average 14.5
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 25.6
- AfD +0.5average 25.5
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- FDP -0.1average 3.1
- Grüne ±0average 11.5
- Linke ±0average 10.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD185
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD110
- Grüne82
- Linke75
- AfD + CDU/CSU363 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke363 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.