INSA poll of 8 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%+0.5
- CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Nov 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Nov 2025, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.5average 25.5
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 25.5
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- Grüne +0.5average 11.5
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- BSW +0.3average 3.7
- FDP -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD184
- CDU/CSU177
- SPD106
- Grüne85
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU361 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.