INSA poll of 3 November 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- AfD25.5%-0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Nov 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by AfD on 25.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 30 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 1 Nov 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 25.6
- AfD +0.1average 25.4
- FDP -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- AfD182
- SPD107
- Grüne79
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.