INSA poll of 7 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 6 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%-0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 2 to 6 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Feb 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 12.3
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- AfD +0.9average 25.1
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 25.3
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU179
- SPD114
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.