INSA poll of 10 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 9 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Feb 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.4average 12.4
- AfD +0.9average 25.1
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- SPD +0.5average 15.0
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 25.3
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU182
- SPD111
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.