INSA poll of 14 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 1,202
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%-0.5
- AfD25.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,202 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Feb 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Feb 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 12.3
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- BSW +0.7average 3.3
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 25.3
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
- AfD -0.1average 25.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD181
- SPD116
- Grüne80
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.