INSA poll of 17 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 16 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- AfD25.5%+0.5
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Feb 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by AfD on 25.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 13 to 16 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 14 Feb 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- BSW +0.7average 3.3
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- SPD +0.5average 15.0
- AfD +0.4average 25.1
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 25.2
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD183
- SPD112
- Grüne79
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke368 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.