INSA poll of 3 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2026 to 2 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD26.0%±0
- SPD15.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.5%+0.5
- Linke10.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jan 2026.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 26.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2026 to 2 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 31 Jan 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- AfD +0.7average 25.3
- SPD +0.7average 14.8
- Grüne -0.7average 12.2
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- AfD184
- SPD110
- Grüne81
- Linke71
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.