Single poll
INSA poll of 5 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 27.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 2 May 2026, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 25.7
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- SPD +0.5average 13.0
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 24.4
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- Linke -0.1average 10.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD196
- CDU/CSU171
- SPD96
- Grüne92
- Linke75
- AfD + CDU/CSU367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke367 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 2 May 2026INSA, 9 May 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.