INSA poll of 2 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 27 to 30 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 1,207
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+0.5
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-0.5
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Apr 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,207 people were surveyed from 27 to 30 Apr 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 28 Apr 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.3average 25.7
- SPD +1.0average 13.0
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 24.4
- Linke +0.3average 10.7
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD196
- CDU/CSU168
- SPD98
- Grüne91
- Linke77
- AfD + CDU/CSU364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.