Single poll
INSA poll of 9 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 8 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,200
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,200 people were surveyed from 4 to 8 May 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 May 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.9 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.9average 26.1
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 24.1
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- FDP -0.9average 3.9
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
- SPD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD200
- CDU/CSU165
- SPD93
- Grüne93
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 5 May 2026INSA, 12 May 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.