Single poll
INSA poll of 14 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 14 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.5%, followed by AfD on 23.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 11 to 14 Jul 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Jul 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.9average 11.9
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 28.1
- Linke +0.6average 9.9
- AfD +0.5average 23.0
- BSW +0.5average 4.0
- SPD +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.3average 3.2
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- AfD169
- SPD108
- Grüne79
- Linke76
- CDU/CSU + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke382 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke353 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke324 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 13 Jul 2025INSA, 19 Jul 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.