INSA poll of 11 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 10 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU20.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- SPD12.5%+0.5
- Linke11.5%+0.5
- FDP4.5%-0.5
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Aug 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 7 to 10 Aug 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 8 Aug 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 21.8
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- AfD +0.9average 27.6
- SPD +0.4average 12.1
- FDP -0.1average 4.6
- Linke ±0average 11.5
- BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD209
- CDU/CSU150
- Grüne95
- SPD92
- Linke84
- AfD + CDU/CSU359 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD396 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke388 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.