INSA poll of 8 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 7 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-0.5
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Aug 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 3 to 7 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Aug 2026, BSW loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 21.8
- AfD +0.5average 27.5
- Linke -0.4average 11.4
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- SPD -0.3average 12.3
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD196
- CDU/CSU147
- Grüne91
- SPD84
- Linke77
- FDP35
- AfD + CDU/CSU343 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD371 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.