INSA poll of 15 August 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 14 Aug 2026
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%-0.5
- CDU/CSU20.0%-0.5
- Grüne13.0%±0
- SPD12.0%-0.5
- Linke12.0%+0.5
- FDP5.0%+0.5
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Aug 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 10 to 14 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 11 Aug 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 21.8
- Grüne -1.3average 14.3
- Linke +0.5average 11.5
- AfD +0.4average 27.6
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- SPD -0.1average 12.1
- BSW ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD196
- CDU/CSU140
- Grüne91
- SPD84
- Linke84
- FDP35
- AfD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD371 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke364 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.