INSA poll of 25 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+0.5
- Grüne14.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%-0.5
- BSW4.0%+0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jul 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Jul 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Jul 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 22.1
- AfD +0.8average 27.2
- BSW +0.8average 3.2
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
- Linke -0.4average 11.4
- Grüne -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD205
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne102
- SPD88
- Linke81
- AfD + CDU/CSU359 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD395 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke388 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.