Single poll
INSA poll of 21 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 20 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 2,005
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.5%. 2,005 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Jul 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 18 Jul 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 27.3
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 22.1
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- Linke -0.9average 11.4
- SPD +0.6average 12.4
- BSW +0.3average 3.2
- FDP ±0average 4.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD213
- CDU/CSU150
- SPD95
- Grüne95
- Linke77
- AfD + CDU/CSU363 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne403 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke385 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 18 Jul 2026INSA, 25 Jul 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.