INSA poll of 28 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Online
- AfD28.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%±0
- Grüne13.5%-0.5
- SPD12.5%+0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Jul 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Jul 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 22.0
- BSW +0.8average 3.2
- AfD +0.7average 27.3
- Grüne -0.6average 14.1
- Linke -0.6average 11.6
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- SPD +0.1average 12.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD205
- CDU/CSU154
- Grüne99
- SPD91
- Linke81
- AfD + CDU/CSU359 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD395 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke385 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.