INSA poll of 8 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 7 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU19.5%-0.5
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- SPD12.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.5%+0.5
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others6.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Sep 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.5%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 4 to 7 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 5 Sep 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.4average 27.6
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 20.9
- Linke -1.3average 11.8
- Grüne -1.1average 14.6
- BSW +1.0average 3.0
- SPD -0.3average 12.8
- FDP -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD215
- CDU/CSU144
- Grüne100
- SPD93
- Linke78
- AfD + CDU/CSU359 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD408 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke393 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.