INSA poll of 7 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 6 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- SPD12.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jul 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Jul 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 4 Jul 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.6average 27.4
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- Linke -0.7average 11.2
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 22.3
- SPD ±0average 12.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD210
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne94
- SPD91
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD395 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke380 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.