INSA poll of 11 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 10 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 1,204
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD28.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- SPD12.0%-0.5
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jul 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,204 people were surveyed from 6 to 10 Jul 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 7 Jul 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has Grüne 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.1average 14.1
- BSW +0.9average 3.1
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- AfD +0.4average 27.6
- Linke -0.3average 11.3
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 22.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD207
- CDU/CSU163
- SPD89
- Grüne89
- Linke82
- AfD + CDU/CSU370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne385 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke378 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.