INSA poll of 27 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 27 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.5%+0.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Linke11.5%+0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 24 to 27 Oct 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 25 Oct 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 25.5
- Linke +1.0average 10.5
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.1
- BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU176
- SPD107
- Linke82
- Grüne79
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + Linke + Grüne347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.