INSA poll of 25 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 24 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,205
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD26.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-0.5
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,205 people were surveyed from 20 to 24 Oct 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Oct 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 25.5
- FDP +0.9average 3.1
- AfD +0.6average 25.4
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- Grüne -0.4average 11.4
- BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU174
- SPD108
- Grüne80
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.