Single poll
INSA poll of 3 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Dec 2025 to 2 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 1,004
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,004 people were surveyed from 30 Dec 2025 to 2 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 Dec 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 12.2
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 25.4
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- SPD -0.1average 14.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD101
- Grüne80
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 23 Dec 2025INSA, 6 Jan 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.