Single poll
INSA poll of 6 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 5 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 2,008
- Method
- Online
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 25.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,008 people were surveyed from 2 to 5 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 3 Jan 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 12.2
- Linke +0.8average 10.2
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 25.3
- SPD +0.3average 14.2
- AfD -0.2average 25.7
- BSW +0.2average 3.8
- FDP -0.1average 3.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD184
- CDU/CSU181
- SPD105
- Grüne80
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke366 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More
More polls
← INSA, 3 Jan 2026INSA, 10 Jan 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.