INSA poll of 23 December 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 22 Dec 2025
- Respondents
- 2,002
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.5%+0.5
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.5%-0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Dec 2025.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Dec 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 21 Dec 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Dec 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.4
- Grüne -0.7average 12.2
- Linke +0.7average 10.3
- AfD +0.4average 25.6
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- SPD -0.1average 14.1
- FDP -0.1average 3.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD101
- Grüne83
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke359 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.