INSA poll of 22 September 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 21 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.5%+0.5
- CDU/CSU19.5%-0.5
- SPD13.5%+0.5
- Grüne13.5%-0.5
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP4.5%-0.5
- BSW3.5%+0.5
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Sep 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.5%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 18 to 21 Sep 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 20 Sep 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 27.7
- Grüne -1.4average 14.9
- Linke -1.2average 11.7
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 20.4
- SPD +0.9average 12.6
- BSW +0.2average 3.3
- FDP -0.1average 4.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD215
- CDU/CSU142
- SPD98
- Grüne98
- Linke77
- AfD + CDU/CSU357 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne411 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke390 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.