INSA poll of 26 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 26 May 2026
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke10.5%-0.5
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others5.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 22 to 26 May 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 23 May 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.6average 26.4
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 23.4
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
- Grüne -0.4average 14.4
- Linke -0.4average 10.9
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD209
- CDU/CSU158
- Grüne101
- SPD86
- Linke76
- AfD + CDU/CSU367 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD396 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke386 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke320 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.