INSA poll of 23 May 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 22 May 2026
- Respondents
- 1,203
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD29.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD12.0%-0.5
- Linke11.0%+0.5
- FDP4.0%+0.5
- BSW3.0%-0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 May 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,203 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 May 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 19 May 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, INSA has AfD 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.4average 26.6
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 23.4
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
- Grüne -0.3average 14.3
- BSW -0.2average 3.2
- Linke +0.1average 10.9
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD208
- CDU/CSU157
- Grüne100
- SPD86
- Linke79
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD394 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.