INSA poll of 13 January 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 12 Jan 2026
- Respondents
- 2,010
- Method
- Online
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.5%+0.5
- SPD14.5%+0.5
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jan 2026.
In this poll INSA has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.5%. 2,010 people were surveyed from 9 to 12 Jan 2026, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 10 Jan 2026, Linke loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Jan 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 25.4
- SPD +0.4average 14.1
- FDP +0.4average 3.6
- BSW +0.4average 3.6
- AfD +0.3average 25.7
- Grüne -0.2average 12.2
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU178
- SPD105
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- AfD + CDU/CSU366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.