INSA poll of 16 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 15 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 2,004
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.5%+0.5
- AfD25.5%+0.5
- SPD14.5%+0.5
- Grüne11.5%-0.5
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Sep 2025.
In this poll INSA has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.5%, followed by AfD on 25.5%. 2,004 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Sep 2025, method Online, commissioned by BILD.
Compared with the previous INSA poll of 13 Sep 2025, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.4
- AfD +0.8average 24.7
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- SPD -0.4average 14.9
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- Grüne +0.1average 11.4
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- AfD182
- SPD104
- Grüne82
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke366 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.