Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 27 October 2026 for the Hesse state election

State
Hesse
Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
19 to 22 Oct 2026
Respondents
1,185
Method
Telefon & Online

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,185 people were surveyed from 19 to 22 Oct 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Feb 2026, CDU loses 7.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, Grüne gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.0 points lower and Grüne 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU -5.0average 30.0
  • Grüne +3.0average 13.0
  • AfD +1.0average 22.0
  • FDP +1.0average 3.0
  • Freie Wähler -1.0average 4.0
  • SPD ±0average 15.0
  • Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

CDU: 32 seatsAfD: 29 seatsGrüne: 21 seatsSPD: 19 seatsLinke: 9 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU32
  • AfD29
  • Grüne21
  • SPD19
  • Linke9
  • CDU + AfD61 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + SPD72 of 110
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD69 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne + Linke62 of 110
  • CDU + SPD + Linke60 of 110
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke59 of 110
  • AfD + SPD + Linke57 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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