Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 2 February 2026 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
26 to 29 Jan 2026
Respondents
1,148
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU32.0%-4.0
  • AfD20.0%+2.0
  • SPD16.0%+3.0
  • Grüne14.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others9.0%+3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jun 2025.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,148 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 Jan 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 23 Jun 2025, CDU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Grüne 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.0average 12.0
  • SPD +1.0average 15.0
  • Linke -1.0average 7.0
  • FDP -1.0average 4.0
  • CDU ±0average 32.0
  • AfD ±0average 20.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 40 seatsAfD: 25 seatsSPD: 20 seatsGrüne: 18 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU40
  • AfD25
  • SPD20
  • Grüne18
  • Linke7
  • CDU + AfD65 of 110
  • CDU + SPD60 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne58 of 110
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne63 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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