Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 23 June 2025 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 Jun 2025
Respondents
1,150
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU36.0%-1.0
  • AfD18.0%+2.0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • SPD13.0%-2.0
  • Linke6.0%
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-3.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Apr 2024.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 36.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,150 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Jun 2025, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 26 Apr 2024, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 1.5 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.5average 34.5
  • SPD -1.5average 14.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 13.0
  • FDP +1.0average 3.0
  • BSW -1.0average 4.0
  • AfD +0.5average 17.5
  • Linke ±0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 45 seatsAfD: 23 seatsGrüne: 18 seatsSPD: 16 seatsLinke: 8 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU45
  • AfD23
  • Grüne18
  • SPD16
  • Linke8
  • CDU + AfD68 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne63 of 110
  • CDU + SPD61 of 110
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD57 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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