Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 26 April 2024 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
18 to 23 Apr 2024
Respondents
1,159
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU37.0%+6.0
  • AfD16.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-2.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • BSW3.0%
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 37.0%, followed by AfD on 16.0%. 1,159 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 Apr 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 28 Sep 2023, CDU gains 6.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 4.0 points higher and Grüne 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +4.0average 33.0
  • Grüne +3.0average 12.0
  • BSW -3.0average 6.0
  • AfD -2.0average 18.0
  • SPD +1.0average 14.0
  • FDP +1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 46 seatsAfD: 20 seatsSPD: 19 seatsGrüne: 19 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU46
  • AfD20
  • SPD19
  • Grüne19
  • FDP6
  • CDU + AfD66 of 110
  • CDU + SPD65 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne65 of 110
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne58 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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