Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 28 September 2023 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
ARD
Fieldwork period
25 to 27 Sep 2023
Respondents
1,515
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%-2.0
  • AfD15.0%-2.0
  • FDP6.0%+1.0
  • Linke4.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Sep 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,515 people were surveyed from 25 to 27 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Sep 2023, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 2.3 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.3average 18.3
  • Grüne -2.0average 19.0
  • CDU +1.4average 29.6
  • AfD -1.1average 16.1
  • Linke +1.1average 2.9
  • FDP +0.2average 5.8
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 40 seatsGrüne: 22 seatsSPD: 21 seatsAfD: 19 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU40
  • Grüne22
  • SPD21
  • AfD19
  • FDP8
  • CDU + Grüne62 of 110
  • CDU + SPD61 of 110
  • CDU + AfD59 of 110
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD62 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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