Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 14 September 2023 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
5 to 9 Sep 2023
Respondents
1,170
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU31.0%-1.0
  • SPD18.0%-2.0
  • Grüne17.0%-5.0
  • AfD17.0%+6.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler3.0%
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Mar 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,170 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 Sep 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 14 Mar 2023, AfD gains 6.0 points, Grüne loses 5.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 1.7 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +1.7average 29.3
  • Grüne -1.5average 18.5
  • SPD -1.3average 19.3
  • Freie Wähler -1.3average 4.3
  • FDP -0.9average 5.9
  • AfD +0.7average 16.3
  • Linke +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 39 seatsSPD: 23 seatsGrüne: 21 seatsAfD: 21 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU39
  • SPD23
  • Grüne21
  • AfD21
  • FDP6
  • CDU + SPD62 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne60 of 110
  • CDU + AfD60 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD65 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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