Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 14 March 2023 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
7 to 11 Mar 2023
Respondents
1,177
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU32.0%+5.0
  • Grüne22.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%-2.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.0
  • Linke3.0%±0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Oct 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,177 people were surveyed from 7 to 11 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 19 Oct 2022, CDU gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 4.0 points lower and CDU 3.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -4.0average 24.0
  • CDU +3.0average 29.0
  • Linke +1.5average 1.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 21.0
  • FDP -1.0average 6.0
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 39 seatsGrüne: 27 seatsSPD: 24 seatsAfD: 14 seatsFDP: 6 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU39
  • Grüne27
  • SPD24
  • AfD14
  • FDP6
  • CDU + Grüne66 of 110
  • CDU + SPD63 of 110
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD65 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP59 of 110
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP57 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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