Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 19 October 2022 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
12 to 15 Oct 2022
Respondents
1,161
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU27.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%-2.0
  • Grüne22.0%+2.0
  • AfD12.0%+5.0
  • FDP6.0%-3.0
  • Linke3.0%-2.0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,161 people were surveyed from 12 to 15 Oct 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 4 Mar 2022, AfD gains 5.0 points, FDP loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 7.0 points higher and CDU 3.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +7.0average 15.0
  • CDU -3.5average 30.5
  • AfD -2.5average 14.5
  • Grüne +1.0average 21.0
  • FDP -1.0average 7.0
  • Linke -1.0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 33 seatsSPD: 27 seatsGrüne: 27 seatsAfD: 15 seatsFDP: 8 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU33
  • SPD27
  • Grüne27
  • AfD15
  • FDP8
  • CDU + SPD60 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne60 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD69 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP62 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP56 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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