Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 4 March 2022 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
28 Feb 2022 to 2 Mar 2022
Respondents
1,169
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU27.0%-5.0
  • SPD24.0%+7.0
  • Grüne20.0%-1.0
  • FDP9.0%+2.0
  • AfD7.0%-3.0
  • Linke5.0%-1.0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Feb 2021.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,169 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2022 to 2 Mar 2022, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 25 Feb 2021, SPD gains 7.0 points, CDU loses 5.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 4.5 points higher and AfD 3.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Mar 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +4.5average 22.5
  • AfD -3.0average 10.0
  • SPD -2.0average 26.0
  • Grüne +0.5average 19.5
  • FDP -0.5average 9.5
  • Linke -0.5average 5.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 32 seatsSPD: 29 seatsGrüne: 24 seatsFDP: 11 seatsAfD: 8 seatsLinke: 6 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU32
  • SPD29
  • Grüne24
  • FDP11
  • AfD8
  • Linke6
  • CDU + SPD61 of 110
  • CDU + Grüne56 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP64 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD61 of 110
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke59 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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