Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 25 February 2021 for the Hesse state election

Commissioned by
Hessischer Rundfunk
Fieldwork period
18 to 23 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU32.0%-2.0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%-2.0
  • AfD10.0%+2.0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Dec 2020.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 18 to 23 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Hessischer Rundfunk.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 9 Dec 2020, CDU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has Linke 3.0 points lower and CDU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -3.0average 9.0
  • CDU +2.0average 30.0
  • Grüne +2.0average 19.0
  • SPD -1.0average 18.0
  • AfD -1.0average 11.0
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

110 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 38 seatsGrüne: 25 seatsSPD: 20 seatsAfD: 12 seatsFDP: 8 seatsLinke: 7 seatsMajority from 56110of 110 seats
  • CDU38
  • Grüne25
  • SPD20
  • AfD12
  • FDP8
  • Linke7
  • CDU + Grüne63 of 110
  • CDU + SPD58 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + FDP58 of 110
  • CDU + AfD + Linke57 of 110
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD57 of 110
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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