Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 5 November 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
2 to 4 Nov 2026
Respondents
1,297
Method
Telefon & Online

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Oct 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,297 people were surveyed from 2 to 4 Nov 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 1 Oct 2026, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.0average 15.0
  • FDP -1.0average 4.0
  • AfD -0.9average 27.9
  • SPD -0.7average 13.7
  • Linke +0.2average 10.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 20.1
  • BSW -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 195 seatsCDU/CSU: 145 seatsGrüne: 116 seatsSPD: 94 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD195
  • CDU/CSU145
  • Grüne116
  • SPD94
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD405 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.