Infratest dimap poll of 1 October 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 28 to 30 Sep 2026
- Respondents
- 1,303
- Method
- Telefon & Online
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,303 people were surveyed from 28 to 30 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Sep 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Oct 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.2average 14.8
- AfD -1.0average 28.0
- Linke -0.3average 11.3
- FDP -0.3average 4.3
- SPD -0.1average 13.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 20.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD195
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne116
- SPD94
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD405 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.