Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 3 September 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
31 Aug 2026 to 2 Sep 2026
Respondents
1,319
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD27.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%+1.0
  • Linke12.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Aug 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,319 people were surveyed from 31 Aug 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 6 Aug 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Sep 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -0.8average 27.8
  • Grüne +0.7average 14.3
  • FDP -0.7average 4.7
  • SPD +0.6average 12.4
  • Linke +0.5average 11.5
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 21.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 193 seatsCDU/CSU: 151 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsSPD: 93 seatsLinke: 86 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD193
  • CDU/CSU151
  • Grüne107
  • SPD93
  • Linke86
  • AfD + CDU/CSU344 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD393 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke386 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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