Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 6 August 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
ARD-Tagesthemen
Fieldwork period
3 to 5 Aug 2026
Respondents
1,297
Method
Telefon & Online
  • AfD28.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • Others9.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Jul 2026.

In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,297 people were surveyed from 3 to 5 Aug 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Jul 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.1average 13.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.7average 21.7
  • FDP -0.7average 4.7
  • AfD +0.4average 27.6
  • Linke -0.4average 11.4
  • SPD -0.3average 12.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 203 seatsCDU/CSU: 152 seatsGrüne: 108 seatsSPD: 87 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD203
  • CDU/CSU152
  • Grüne108
  • SPD87
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU355 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD398 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke391 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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