Infratest dimap poll of 2 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- ARD-Tagesthemen
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 1,317
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- AfD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%-1.0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others9.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Jun 2026.
In this poll Infratest dimap has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 1,317 people were surveyed from 29 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by ARD-Tagesthemen.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 3 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 13.9
- AfD -0.7average 27.7
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 22.4
- Linke ±0average 11.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD195
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne109
- SPD87
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU354 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD391 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.