Single poll

Forsa poll of 3 November 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
27 Oct 2026 to 2 Nov 2026
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Oct 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 27 Oct 2026 to 2 Nov 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Oct 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.1 points higher and AfD 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +2.1average 14.9
  • AfD -1.9average 27.9
  • SPD +0.4average 13.6
  • Linke +0.2average 10.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 20.1
  • FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 186 seatsCDU/CSU: 143 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 100 seatsLinke: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD186
  • CDU/CSU143
  • Grüne122
  • SPD100
  • Linke79
  • AfD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD408 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke387 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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