Allensbach poll of 24 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 16 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,093
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU32.5%±0
- SPD17.5%+1.5
- AfD14.0%-2.0
- Grüne13.0%-2.0
- BSW8.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Apr 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.5%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 1,093 people were surveyed from 4 to 16 May 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Apr 2024, AfD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 2.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.9average 16.9
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 30.4
- BSW +2.1average 5.9
- SPD +1.8average 15.7
- FDP +1.1average 4.9
- Grüne -0.6average 13.6
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- SPD121
- AfD97
- Grüne90
- BSW55
- FDP42
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.