Allensbach poll of 20 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,084
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU32.0%-0.5
- SPD16.0%-1.5
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW7.0%-1.0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 May 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,084 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 Jun 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 May 2024, SPD loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 1.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.9average 16.9
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 30.2
- FDP +1.0average 5.0
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- BSW +0.2average 6.8
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- Grüne -0.1average 13.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- SPD113
- AfD106
- Grüne92
- BSW50
- FDP42
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.