Single poll

Allensbach poll of 14 February 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
31 Jan 2025 to 12 Feb 2025
Respondents
1,021
Method
Persönlich

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jan 2025.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,021 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2025 to 12 Feb 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 30.0
  • FDP +1.0average 4.0
  • BSW -0.7average 4.7
  • AfD -0.5average 20.5
  • Grüne -0.5average 13.5
  • Linke +0.4average 5.6
  • SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 221 seatsAfD: 138 seatsSPD: 104 seatsGrüne: 90 seatsLinke: 42 seatsFDP: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU221
  • AfD138
  • SPD104
  • Grüne90
  • Linke42
  • FDP35
  • CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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