Allensbach poll of 14 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jan 2025 to 12 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 1,021
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU32.0%-2.0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD15.0%-2.0
- Grüne13.0%-0.5
- Linke6.0%
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jan 2025.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,021 people were surveyed from 31 Jan 2025 to 12 Feb 2025, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Jan 2025, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.0average 30.0
- FDP +1.0average 4.0
- BSW -0.7average 4.7
- AfD -0.5average 20.5
- Grüne -0.5average 13.5
- Linke +0.4average 5.6
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- AfD138
- SPD104
- Grüne90
- Linke42
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.